World Cup 2026: USA vs Paraguay Tips, Odds & Prediction

James Salmon
By: James Salmon
World Cup Betting Tips
World Cup 2026 - USA vs Paraguay

World Cup 2026 USA vs Paraguay

USA vs Paraguay Best Odds

USA open their home World Cup against Paraguay at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood in the early hours of Saturday 13 June, with kickoff at 03:00 CAT. Mauricio Pochettino leads a USMNT side captained by Tim Ream and powered by Christian Pulisic, while Gustavo Alfaro's Paraguay arrive in form after wins over Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay during qualifying. I lean to the hosts, but Paraguay should not be underestimated. For all our World Cup betting tips, head to our dedicated section.

USA vs Paraguay Analysis

USA

There is a lot of expectation on the collective shoulders of the USA heading into this opener with Pochettino settling on a core of Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams and Weston McKennie. Folarin Balogun and Haji Wright both arrive in strong club form, giving Pochettino options at the top of his preferred 4-3-3. Tim Ream captains a defence that will be tested by Paraguay's directness, with Chris Richards alongside him at centre-back. The home support at SoFi Stadium should provide energy, but Pochettino has experimented heavily with formations and that lack of cohesion is a slight concern. I expect the USA to start brightly and try to put the game to bed early.

Predicted Lineup: Turner; Dest, Richards, Ream, Robinson; Adams, McKennie; Reyna, Pulisic, Weah; Balogun.

Paraguay

Paraguay are the most improved side in South America since Alfaro took charge, with a compact 4-4-2 built to frustrate stronger opponents and counter through Miguel Almiron and Julio Enciso. Captain Gustavo Gomez anchors the back four alongside Omar Alderete, and the squad is fit with no major injuries reported. Antonio Sanabria leads the line and offers a focal point for direct play. I think they will sit in a mid-block, try to draw the USA forward and then strike on the break, particularly through Almiron from the left.

Predicted Lineup: Fernandez; Caceres, G. Gomez, Alderete, Riveros; Gonzalez, Bobadilla, D. Gomez, Almiron; Enciso, Sanabria.

Over 2.5 Goals (2.18)
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USA vs Paraguay Prediction

USA have home advantage at SoFi Stadium and the better individual talent, while Paraguay are well organised but lack the cutting edge to trouble Pochettino’s side over 90 minutes. I expect the hosts to take control after half-time and grind out a win. My forecast: USA 2 Paraguay 1.

USA to Win (1.91)
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USA vs Paraguay Best Bet

BTTS: Yes at 1.95

I am backing Both Teams to Score: Yes, in line with my 2-1 forecast. The USA have the attacking quality of Pulisic, Reyna and Balogun to break Paraguay down, but Pochettino's defence has looked uneven in friendlies and Almiron carries genuine threat on the counter. Paraguay scored against Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay in qualifying, so they will not arrive without belief. At 1.95 from Betway, BTTS: Yes looks like great value.

BTTS: Yes (1.95)
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World Cup 2026 Standings & Upcoming Matches

James is a sports writer, editor and published author from Melbourne, Australia. He has close to a decade of experience writing about sports and triple that as an ardent follower of everything from AFL and cricket to NBA and surfing, and has also published his own sports book titled Sport’s Greatest Statistical Anomalies. If he’s not watching or playing sport, you’ll find James playing his guitars (when the house is empty, of course), trying out a new stout, or having a read.